In my opinion, something is going to break within 6 months.
The inflation is still high and the danger of recession is still here.
The inflation is still high
Where are you getting that from? That’s not what the numbers say.
Go buy a good used car right now.
That isn’t an indicator of current inflation. Past inflation, maybe.
People confuse “everything is expensive” with “inflation is currently high”. It’s an understandable misunderstanding, and part of the reason why Kamala lost.
It’s because of hysteretic effects from 4 years ago when they stopped production of cars and fewer cars were sold because people were staying home. Then there was a supply chain crisis because of the aforementioned shutdown. It’s inflation because the dollar can buy less than it used to. Things being more expensive is inflation. You’re confusing inflation rate with inflation.
Inflation rate and inflation are the same. You’re confusing inflation with affordability.
That’s literally the definition of inflation. “Inflation is a loss of purchasing power that reflects a rise in prices for goods and services over time.”
Did you see the used car prices a few years ago? They’re trending downward.
That’s sales, not prices. Sales are down because prices are up. For $27k I can buy a Toyota Corolla hybrid and almost a Toyota Prius. Used car prices are slightly down because people are trading in crap with 200k miles.
It is not.
https://www.cargurus.com/research/price-trends
Used car price index
Want to track used car prices over time? Select a date range and car type to see your favorite vehicles’ pricing ups and downs.
Go buy eggs, bread and milk. Better part of a twenty.
I think it will take longer than that, there’s still a lot of rich people who don’t think Trump will really do the tariffs or the mass deportation. Once it becomes clear that is really happening the economy will likely start getting all kinds of messed up fast.
Also, as others have told you, inflation is actually low again currently and that is why rates are coming down now. This is the “soft landing” that everyone was talking about, just in time for Trump to take the helm.
What post election uncertainty?
The uncertainty over what Trump might break with his buffoonery.
I bet they cut it a half point after January.
