The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the climate system. Here, data-driven estimators for the time of tipping predict a potential AMOC collapse mid-century under the current emission scenario.
  • red_october@reddthat.comEnglish
    1·
    1 year ago

    If the records shattered this year tell us anything, it is that these models are too optimistic. Undoubtedly, this will occur during our lives.

  • chuckleslord@lemmy.worldEnglish
    0·
    1 year ago

    Tl;dr, AMOC collapse extremely likely (95% confidence) from 2025-2095. So, within many people’s lifetimes.

    • eleitl@lemmy.worldEnglish
      1·
      1 year ago

      It doesn’t stop overnight. In fact it has noticeably slowed down already. Of course the process becomes quicker when Greenland freshwater runoff becomes massive.