• Collatz_problem [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    11 months ago

    400k is all of the Russian troops in Ukraine, as far as I know. Granted, there are also troops in Russia along the border, but I don’t think there are that many. Given recent enlargement plan of Russian Armed Forces to 2.2 million people with 1.3 million military personnel out of them, I think it is a reasonable estimate.

    10 to 1 losses are probably overblown, even with disastrous losses during Ukrainian offensive.

    It is a stalemate from tactical and operational point of view. Neither side currently can achieve decisive breakthrough, although attrition warfare is more advantageous for Russia.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      11 months ago

      Total size of Russian military currently is around 1.9 million, which is the number that should be compared to the 800 thousand figure for Ukraine. A lot of the military is logistics support for the active troops, intelligence, and so on. They don’t need to be located on the ground in Ukraine.

      10 to 1 losses are probably overblown, even with disastrous losses during Ukrainian offensive.

      I don’t see why you’d say that given that Russia fires around 10x more artillery and most losses come from artillery fire.

      Again, the notion that this is a stalemate is simply not supported by the evidence. Even Stoltenberg is now saying that NATO should be prepared for bad news, which is as close to an admission as we’re going to get that Ukrainian army is collapsing.