I’m not sure how you can judge that, against something that doesn’t exist yet.

Simply based on past and current trends. The advancement curve on fusion would need to really step it up and if we say that it can, then we also need to accept the same is possible for the alternatives which means fusion still lags behind.

Fusion would need to be extra special somehow, and from what’s happened so far, it seems less special than the rest if anything.

Naturally this is all speculative of course, and being wrong on this is great either way as one way or another we will continue to get better at getting energy.